ANALYSIS: #AnambraDecides2021: Can Ihiala voters relief PDP overtake APGA?


Ihiala, one in every of the 21 local authorities areas in Anambra, is nearly on all people’s lips as a ways as the 2021 governorship election within the South-east order is anxious.

After Saturday’s election, Charles Soludo, the candidate of the All Innovative Mountainous Alliance (APGA), became once at the brink of victory, nearly, when the Honest National Electoral Commission (INEC) suspended the collation of results and presented that election would be held in Ihiala on Tuesday, November 9 as required by laws.

INEC acknowledged it’ll also now not habits an election in Ihiala on Saturday thanks to a security likelihood.

Mr Soludo won in 18 out of the 20 local authorities areas the place results were presented. He scored a complete of 103,946 votes.

His closest rival, Valentine Ozigbo of the Peoples Democratic Occasion (PDP), won in handiest one local authorities place and scored a complete of 51,322 votes.

The margin between Messrs Soludo and Ozigbo is 52,624 votes nevertheless there are 148,407 registered voters in Ihiala, in line with INEC.

Within the eyes of the laws, PDP can fetch ample votes in Ihiala to glean more votes total than APGA within the governorship election.

That is why INEC insisted that the election needs to be held in Ihiala.

If this occurs and PDP is additionally ready to glean at the least 25 per cent of votes solid in two-thirds of the 21 local authorities areas, Mr Ozigbo will leapfrog his APGA opponent and desire the Anambra governorship election.

Nonetheless in actuality, can this happen? Can Mr Ozigbo beat Mr Soludo in Ihiala? Very now doubtlessly not, it appears to be like.

Pondering the history of unhappy voter turnout in Anambra, it’s now doubtlessly to not hold up to 40,000 voters coming out to vote within the election in Ihiala.

Although PDP puts in its ultimate probably and achieves a indispensable job in mobilising voters, it’s impossible that all the voters will vote for one event.

Added to that is that Ihiala is an APGA stronghold, judging from the implications of the three earlier governorship elections.

Within the 2010 election which APGA candidate, Peter Obi won, the event scored 5,996 votes in Ihiala, while PDP had 4,945 votes.

In 2013, every other APGA candidate, Willie Obiano, the scorching governor of Anambra, scored 10,274 votes in Ihiala, against PDP’s 5,520 votes.

Mr Obiano won re-election in 2017. In that election, APGA scored 14,379 votes against PDP’s 4,706 votes.


Soludo ready to be declared winner

Having performed poorly all the map thru Saturday’s election, APC appears to be like to hold given up. And there is now not a likelihood of the event joining forces with PDP in nowadays’s election in Ihiala since each occasions historically attain now not work collectively.

PDP goes to put up a stable battle in Ihiala, nevertheless it surely is now doubtlessly not for them to beat APGA within the place.

Mr Soludo is tremendous ready to be declared the winner, clearly.

Vote casting in Ihiala ends by 4 p.m., in line with INEC. Nigerians must aloof positively know who’s the next governor of Anambra later nowadays.

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